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Dec 27, 2012
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steve weiss. >> i've never seen that many. but we've got mike murphy, who doesn't like the stock at all. he's short that thing. >> short -- >> i don't have the guts to short it. i'd like to be. i don't have the guts to. >> i think at some poinl, the valuation in amazon is going to have to come in to some sort of normal level. it's trading at 500 times current level, so, i think it will is a pull back and we're targeting the 218 level as a key level. >> all right, jane? >> all right. here's another surprise. defense industry is a huge employer. i know people who have been getting their layoff notices ahead of the fiscal cliff. market isn't playing defense in selling the stocks. no. pretty close though their 52-week highs and have outperformed the s&p. in fact, lockheed and raytheon ended up, melissa. >> doc j, what do you see? >> ah, i like general dynamics the most of the group. it's only about 4% year to date. some of these others are up double digits. all of general dynamics move lately, melissa, has come since the election.
steve weiss. >> i've never seen that many. but we've got mike murphy, who doesn't like the stock at all. he's short that thing. >> short -- >> i don't have the guts to short it. i'd like to be. i don't have the guts to. >> i think at some poinl, the valuation in amazon is going to have to come in to some sort of normal level. it's trading at 500 times current level, so, i think it will is a pull back and we're targeting the 218 level as a key level. >> all right,...
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Dec 26, 2012
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let's do on the technical side and fundamental side with steve cortes. good to see you both. one has been a stellar performer and the other not so much. what do you like right now? >> bill, you just summed it up. the news came out over the weekend and the market is telling you what you should believe in. netflix is up 1% and amazon down 3.5%. look at the chart in amazon, you can see it's been showing us this over the last four months. amazon put a high in at 261. about eight days ago tried to take out that high and couldn't do it. it put in a double top. that's a sign of a -- you know, of a failure. you have a stock like amazon who basically -- the stock failed at 261 and now we have a 20-day moving average which it broke through and 209-day moving average, the last time it broke through the 20-day moving average it fell 13%. now we look over at netflix, that's a totally different story, right you? said it was a dog. it bottomed out at $54 and broke above its 20-day moving average and stayed above its 20-day moving average for the last four weeks. if it stays above its $20 mo
let's do on the technical side and fundamental side with steve cortes. good to see you both. one has been a stellar performer and the other not so much. what do you like right now? >> bill, you just summed it up. the news came out over the weekend and the market is telling you what you should believe in. netflix is up 1% and amazon down 3.5%. look at the chart in amazon, you can see it's been showing us this over the last four months. amazon put a high in at 261. about eight days ago...
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Dec 28, 2012
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o'hara and on the fundamental side steve cortes, a cnbc contributor. welcome to both of you. stocks versus the s&p, for example, what do you charts tell you and what do you like? >> well, bill, i like stocks for the short term. when i say short term, into the year end, first or second week of january, but they are getting concerning to me, so i really like gold over the intermediate term and my way to play gold is by playing the gld. recently the gld is bouncing lower off of a strong resistance at 174 on the charts. i think there will be short-term weakness in cold, but i'm using this as an opportunity to accumulate some positions. would i love to see it hit 155, 156 which is -- which is an upward rising support level. look at the options, a lot of activity down around that level which tells me there's interest, and i would love to be buying it right around there, and i think we have good upside. >> steve? >> what i don't -- >> i'm on the other side of gold. would you think with a name like cortez i would have sort of an inborn lust for gold but i did not. did not get that fr
o'hara and on the fundamental side steve cortes, a cnbc contributor. welcome to both of you. stocks versus the s&p, for example, what do you charts tell you and what do you like? >> well, bill, i like stocks for the short term. when i say short term, into the year end, first or second week of january, but they are getting concerning to me, so i really like gold over the intermediate term and my way to play gold is by playing the gld. recently the gld is bouncing lower off of a strong...
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Dec 26, 2012
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. >> steve weiss quickly. >> john, how do you see it playing out? we've seen a lot of ends being front end loaded only to fall off and maintain the back end. with everything that's going on in terms of spending, cutting back from europe and from u.s. standpoint. how do you see it playing out next year in terms of the market action? >> in terms of the market action, what we would expect, the first quarter a lot is going to depend on what happens with the fiscal cliff. as i said before, if we move into a recession, you're not going to get a 1585 target or 2 $108 in earnings. we're not expecting the powers that be in washington are going to be willing to save a defeat from the jaws of victory. >> you haven't watched them before, john, have you? >> i've been around for a long time. i have watched them before. i do know that they worry about legacy. the history books would write about them and say do this. >> it's good to talk to you. thank for coming on. >> thanks for having me. >>> pete, 1585 is the price target. second highest on the street just behin
. >> steve weiss quickly. >> john, how do you see it playing out? we've seen a lot of ends being front end loaded only to fall off and maintain the back end. with everything that's going on in terms of spending, cutting back from europe and from u.s. standpoint. how do you see it playing out next year in terms of the market action? >> in terms of the market action, what we would expect, the first quarter a lot is going to depend on what happens with the fiscal cliff. as i said...
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Dec 27, 2012
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. >> let's get more insight from steve from web bush securities. how much of a nail biter is this for you in terms of fiscal cliff and the markets? >> i think pretty clear at this point that if there's a deal coming, it's gonna be coming very, very soon. i think the markets discounted the fact we are going to get some sort of deal t has held up fairly well here and i think if we don't get a deal, we will see a selloff. i don't know how considerable, but certainly see the 2, 3% decline in the market. >> does it amaze you, steve, that the markets, in your view, still consider a given that we are going to reach a deal? here we are thursday, december 27th. they still haven't issued a 48-hur notice for congress to return to capitol hill and yet you're saying the markets have baked in some sort of deal? >> yeah, i think so. i don't in he isly think the deal happened december 31st. if we pass waite without a deal earthquake the market will think something is going to happen in early january this is the way washington works, they walk right up to the edge
. >> let's get more insight from steve from web bush securities. how much of a nail biter is this for you in terms of fiscal cliff and the markets? >> i think pretty clear at this point that if there's a deal coming, it's gonna be coming very, very soon. i think the markets discounted the fact we are going to get some sort of deal t has held up fairly well here and i think if we don't get a deal, we will see a selloff. i don't know how considerable, but certainly see the 2, 3%...
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Dec 31, 2012
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steve liesman has more on that. >> we talk about a lot of these big numbers that are out there and we don't talk about what it means to individuals. so let me see if i can break down the big numbers into something that might mean something to individual people here. $620 billion, that's the number that's the total revenue increases and spending cuts. about $130 billion of the automatic cuts that john harwood was just talking about, talking about trying to ally for a little while. 1920. that's if you break it down by every man, woman and child in america. that's the per capita fiscal cliff effect. but that effects a lot of people differently here. $26.2 million. that's the number of americans that will be caught by the amt, the alter naf tax system, unless congress comes up with a patch and that's part of the whole fiscal cliff effect. come on over here, we'll show you more. 2.1 million, that's the number of long term unemployed americans who will lose the extended benefits again if there's no fix to the fiscal cliff. $1,000, that's the amount that the average family will see a tax hik
steve liesman has more on that. >> we talk about a lot of these big numbers that are out there and we don't talk about what it means to individuals. so let me see if i can break down the big numbers into something that might mean something to individual people here. $620 billion, that's the number that's the total revenue increases and spending cuts. about $130 billion of the automatic cuts that john harwood was just talking about, talking about trying to ally for a little while. 1920....
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Dec 31, 2012
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. >>> steve sedgwick is standing by in london right now. how are things standing by there? >> it's a very quiet session as we saw last week on the u.s. and the european incidentsies. despite the fact that the vix in the united states and the v-stocks and the various volatility measures on this side of the atlantic remain elevated. despite that, we're not seeing a lot of oscillation on the back of, as you said, the fiscal cliff and concerns that we may fall off. does that mean that people are getting complacent? they think even though we might not get a deal in the next 24 hours, we will get a deal fairly imminently. in the meantime, though, this is what we've got in terms of the major european indices. that will open and the germans will come to that in a few minutes' time it has been up year-to-date around about 6% and that makes the ftse 100 a real lagger compared with some of its european peers. a laggard, as well, compared to the cac 40. we have no fiscal cliff deal as of yet and it is up 1%. that means the cac 40, the french equity market, the blue chips there are up o
. >>> steve sedgwick is standing by in london right now. how are things standing by there? >> it's a very quiet session as we saw last week on the u.s. and the european incidentsies. despite the fact that the vix in the united states and the v-stocks and the various volatility measures on this side of the atlantic remain elevated. despite that, we're not seeing a lot of oscillation on the back of, as you said, the fiscal cliff and concerns that we may fall off. does that mean...